Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.
Visit the prediction pages for the respective ceremonies via the links below:
OSCARS | EMMYS | GRAMMYS | TONYS
Weekly Commentary (Updated: April 25, 2024): With her captivating portrayal of Princess Diana in the sixth and final season of Netflix’s “The Crown,” Australian actress Elizabeth Debicki has earned universal acclaim and a trifecta of major televised awards, including Golden Globes, Critics Choice, and Screen Actors Guild honors. As the awards season shifts towards the Emmys, Debicki’s undefeated streak positions her as an undisputed frontrunner, potentially poised to claim her first Emmy trophy amid widespread industry admiration.
Debicki faces competition from her co-star Lesley Manville, who delivered a compelling performance as Princess Margaret, and Christine Baranski, the formidable matriarch in HBO/Max’s “The Gilded Age.” Nonetheless, Debicki is leading the pack. Her acclaimed work in “The Crown” not only captivated audiences, amid a mixed reaction for the final season, but it also earned her first Emmy nom for the series’ fifth season last year. Despite losing to Jennifer Coolidge’s scene-stealing role in “The White Lotus,” Debicki’s rising star may be too bright to ignore.
The race is intensified by a potential robust lineup from Apple’s “The Morning Show,” featuring Greta Lee, Nicole Beharie, Julianna Margulies, Holland Taylor, and Karen Pittman—all of whom have significant fan bases. The crowded field increases the likelihood of vote-splitting, potentially benefiting other potential nominees and contenders.
As the first phase of Emmy campaigning kicks off, attention is focused on “The Crown” and “The Morning Show” potentially dominating the field. Yet, there’s room for surprises. “The Gilded Age” has more potential nominees such as Cynthia Nixon and Audra McDonald, and industry buzz suggests that Leslie Uggams, fresh off her acclaimed role in the Oscar-winning “American Fiction,” could gain traction for Prime Video’s “Fallout.” Additionally, former Emmy darlings like Archie Panjabi from Apple’s “Hijacks” and standouts from Netflix’s “3 Body Problem,” such as Rosalind Chao and Eiza González, might also make an unexpected splash.
Other genre shows could also attract attention, including young standout Celia Rose Gooding as Nyota Uhura in Paramount’s “Star Trek: Strange New Worlds” and Sophia Di Martino, who, along with her co-star Tom Hiddleston, could become favorites for their roles in Disney/Marvel’s superhero series “Loki.”
Read: Variety’s Awards Circuit for the latest Primetime Emmy predictions in the major categories.
**The list below is not complete and have been confirmed as officially submitted. All information is subject to change. Grouped by network that airs each series.
2023 category winner: Jennifer Coolidge — “The White Lotus” (Max) — Season 2
2024 Emmy Awards Calendar and Timeline (all dates are subject to change)
The Primetime Emmy Awards, commonly known as the Emmys, are awarded by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences (ATAS). Established in 1949, these celebrate outstanding achievements in American primetime television. The Emmys are categorized into three divisions: the Primetime Emmy Awards for performance and production excellence, the Primetime Creative Arts Emmy Awards recognizing achievements in artistry and craftsmanship, and the Primetime Engineering Emmy Awards, which honor significant engineering and technological advancements. The eligibility period typically extends from June 1 to May 31 each year. The Television Academy, which hosts the Emmys, consists of over 20,000 members across 30 professional peer groups, including performers, directors, producers, art directors, artisans and executives.
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